When the Chiefs (3-4) host the Giants (2-5) in Arrowhead Stadium to close NFL Week 8, they will be looking to get back to .500 again on their way back to AFC playoff position. Kansas City has struggled against mighty AFC foes but has dispatched Washington and Philadelphia from the NFC East.
The Chiefs need a get-well game for Patrick Mahomes and the offense after the debacle against the Titans in Week 8. The Giants are coming off their second victory of the season at home vs. the Panthers.
Will Daniel Jones have enough healthy weapons to put up a fight vs. Mahomes?
Here’s everything to know about betting on Giants vs. Chiefs in Week 8, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for “Sunday Night Football.”
Giants vs. Chiefs odds for ‘Monday Night Football’
- Spread: Chiefs by 10.5
- Over/under: 52.5
- Moneyline: Giants +385, Chiefs -500
The Chiefs have remained double-digit favorites despite their slow start to the season given the Giants still are struggling with injuries. Kansas City also gets the prime-time emotional bump on top of strong home-field advantage.
(betting odds per FanDuel Sportsbook)
Giants vs. Chiefs all-time series
The Giants have a 11-3 advantage as the teams have only met 14 times. The Giants won 12-9 in overtime in November 2017. The Chiefs won 31-7 in 2013. The Giants have won five of the past six meetings. But they have never faced the Chiefs with Mahomes at quarterback.
Three trends to know
—82 percent of spread bettors are following the recent momentum of each team and taking the Giants to cover the big number as road night underdogs.
—65 percent of over/under bettors think the high total is still low given the nature of the Chiefs’ explosive offense and the Giants still having some playmakers.
—The Giants are 4-6 straight up and 3-7 against the spread in their past 10 games. The total has gone over only three times in those games.The Chiefs are 3-7 ATS and 5-5 SU in their past 10 games, with only half going over the point total.
Three things to watch
Will Mahomes settle at home?
Mahomes has struggled with impatience looking for the big play, leading to uncharacteristic sacks and interceptions. He needs to calm down, take some checkdowns and trust a more balanced offense when home runs are not available, setting for more effective singles and doubles. That will open up the long ball again for Mahomes.
How will the Giants help Jones?
The Giants are hopeful wide receivers Kadarius Toney (ankle) and Sterling Shepard (hamstring) can return to help Darius Slayton and Evan Engram. The Chiefs’ run defense is also shaky enough to get more out of backup running back Devontae Booker. Jones plays well when his support system comes through.
Will the Chiefs’ defense rebound?
The Chiefs’ other big problem has been on the other side of the ball. Injuries have been a factor, but Steve Spanguolo’s group has had trouble getting off the field and making enough big plays to counter how many it can give up. At home at night, Kansas City could use to make a statement there to complement Mahomes.
Stat that matters
125.6. That’s how many average rushing yards per game the Giants are allowing this season, which ranks their run defense No. 24 overall. The Chiefs tend to overcorrect with Andy Reid when they don’t run enough and put too much pressure on Mahomes and the passing game. Except Darrel Williams to have a key role in the victory.
Giants vs. Chiefs prediction
The Cheifs should come out playing well all-around with a sense of desperation. They were in exact spots against the Eagles and Washington in familiar get-well game situations. The Giants will do their best to compete but the Chiefs should be in full control of this game wire-to-wire with their playoff chances essentially on the line.
Chiefs 38, Giants 13