College football bowl projections for championship week: Michigan, Notre Dame move in CFP

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Conference championship weekend is here.

The final College Football Playoff rankings will be unveiled on Sunday, and there are several intriguing scenarios for the final week. Georgia appears to be the only sure bet heading into the SEC championship game, and we still have the Bulldogs beating Alabama on Saturday.

MORE: College football coaching carousel: Every FBS coaching change in 2021

Michigan also moves into our projection after finally beating Ohio State. The Wolverines can clinch their first playoff berth with a win against Iowa on Saturday.

Cincinnati will be the first Group of 5 team to make the playoff if it beats Houston in the American Athletic Conference championship game. (We think that’s the case, anyway). That leaves a fourth spot and a debate among Notre Dame, Oklahoma State if it wins the Big 12 championship game and a potential two-loss Alabama team. We think the Irish win that debate by a small margin.

With that, here are our championship week bowl projections. SN has projections for all 42 bowl games here, and they will be updated throughout the season:

MORE: College football picks, predictions against the spread for every conference championship game

College football bowl projections for championship week

Date Bowl Matchup
Dec. 17 Bahamas Bowl Miami (Ohio) vs. UTEP
Dec. 17 Cure Bowl Ball State vs. East Carolina
Dec. 18 RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Eastern Michigan vs. Liberty*
Dec. 18 New Mexico Bowl Air Force vs. Old Dominion
Dec. 18 Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl BYU vs. UTSA
Dec. 18 Lendingtree Bowl Kent State vs. Georgia State
Dec. 18 Los Angeles Bowl San Diego State vs. Washington State
Dec. 18 R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl Louisiana vs. UAB
Dec. 20 Myrtle Beach Bowl Coastal Carolina vs. Tulsa
Dec. 21 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Western Michigan vs. Boise State
Dec. 21 Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl Toledo vs. North Texas
Dec. 22 Armed Forces Bowl Army* vs. Western Kentucky
Dec. 23 Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl Florida* vs. Fresno State*
Dec. 24 Hawai’i Bowl Utah State vs. Memphis**
Dec. 25 Camellia Bowl Northern Illinois vs. App State
Dec. 27 Quick Lane Bowl UCF vs. Marshall*
Dec. 27 Military Bowl Wyoming* vs. Missouri*
Dec. 28 TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl Houston vs. Mississippi State
Dec. 28 First Responder Bowl FAU vs. Virginia Tech*
Dec. 28 AutoZone Liberty Bowl Kansas State vs. Auburn
Dec. 28 Holiday Bowl Arizona State vs. Miami
Dec. 28 Guaranteed Rate Bowl Louisville vs. LSU*
Dec. 29 Fenway Bowl SMU vs. Virginia
Dec. 29 Pinstripe Bowl Maryland vs. Boston College
Dec. 29 Cheez-It Bowl West Virginia vs. North Carolina
Dec. 29 Valero Alamo Bowl Oregon vs. Oklahoma
Dec. 30 Duke’s Mayo Bowl Minnesota vs. Wake Forest
Dec. 30 Transperfect Music City Bowl Penn State vs. Texas A&M
Dec. 30 SRS Las Vegas Bowl Oregon State vs. Purdue
Dec. 31 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl South Carolina vs. Clemson
Dec. 31 Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl UCLA vs. N.C. State
Dec. 31 Arizona Bowl Central Michigan vs. Nevada
Jan. 1 Outback Bowl Wisconsin vs. Tennessee
Jan. 1 Vrbo Citrus Bowl Iowa vs. Kentucky
Jan. 4 Texas Bowl Iowa State vs. Arkansas

*Denotes not tied to bowl game

MORE: College football polls: Updated AP Top 25, Coaches Poll rankings after Week 13

College Football New Year’s Day 6 projections

Date Bowl Matchup
Dec. 30 Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl Ole Miss vs. Pitt
Jan. 1 PlayStation Fiesta Bowl Baylor vs. Michigan State
Jan. 1 Rose Bowl Game Utah vs. Ohio State
Jan. 1 Allstate Sugar Bowl Oklahoma State vs. Alabama
Dec. 31 Capital One Orange Bowl (semifinal) Notre Dame vs. Georgia
Dec. 31 Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic (semifinal) Cincinnati vs. Michigan

College Football Playoff championship projection

Date Bowl Matchup
Jan. 10 College Football Playoff championship Georgia vs. Michigan



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